The Euro 2008 has entered its final week, defining: this Wednesday, at
14.45 ET, in this city, Germany and Turkey will give life to the first
semi-final, the last match to be played in Switzerland. Indeed, on
Thursday at the same time, Spain and Russia starring the second
semifinal in Vienna, the same city where, on Sunday, the two winners
will face for the grand finale.
In this tournament, we can
remember, there will be no "finalita" for third place: the decision was
made to win a day in all programming, because clearly it was impossible
to play a semifinal on Thursday evening and end lower on Saturday.
But now let's see in detail the possible variants tactics and
background of both meetings, starting obviously for the latest news
that arrived over the first game.
Germany favourites
In
the first semifinal is impossible to doubt: there is a clear favorite,
Germany, enjoying the favors of the prognosis of virtually the entire
world.
Effects, Germany went through a minor crisis by
surprise when he left Croatia in the second match of Group B, a defeat
that cost him his place in the first grouping and that meant advancing
to the quarterfinals the dangerous challenge to the Portuguese.
But there appeared the real Germany, this powerful machine football and
we hoped that we all know, you are looking for revenge for the World
Cup lost in his home two years ago and does so in the competition that
knows best, because he won three times and in other twice was a
finalist.
Turkey, meanwhile, was surprised twice: when back
in the final 15 minutes, a 2 to 0 down to Czech Republic to catch the
grading room, they removed the much quoted Croatia, tying at the last
minute of and gaining additional criminal by definition. In short, a
team that there is no first-level technical and yet has a huge heart
and never gives up, a lesson that the Germans should consider very
carefully.
It is not hard to imagine the libretto of
tactical game: defend Turkey will seek an orderly, leaves no room for
fast eaves to prevent rival centres, with a very dangerous level
CABECADAS Klose, while Germany will play with prudence, without
anticipating too much, hoping that his greater power at any time could
tilt the dish in the balance in his favour.
From the
standpoint of alignments, the biggest doubt that for now keeps the
German coach Joachim Löw has to do with the presence of flying Torsten
Frings, who was absent to Portugal by a rib fissured and now, although
recovered, could be protected according to an eventual end.
Thus, if he would play the pair with Rolfes, but would be repeated a
couple of flyers of 4-2-3-1 hearing before Portugal, with Rolfes and
Hitzlsperger. The other doubt technician has to do with the attack, but
everything stops to think that Gomez will move again in the bank and
Podolski will be assisted by Klose, booting well as eave left open.
Turkey in distress
Much, much more complicated things are for the turkish coach Fatih
Terim, who at this point is just 15 players available, among which
there are two archers.
The feast of Turkey
Turkey wants to give a new surprise and reach the final
Indeed, there are four suspended: goalkeeper Volkan holder, Arda Turan,
Tunkay and Emre Asik. In addition, three injured: Nihat Emre and
Gungor, who already returned home, and the sturdy central defender
Servet, a giant metres and ninety played the first three games with
knee and surrendered in pieces into quarters.
Terim, who is
a specialist coach to work very well the psychology of the players, is
trying to "convince" that his injury can not marginalize an appointment
as important as a semi-final mainland, but doctors twisting his mouth
because the player risks an injury much more serious: we will see if
the technician will win this battle, whereas Sevet is the ideal man to
take over Klose.
The other is the anomalous situation of
Emre Belozoglu: at first it was said that the player was injured after
the first game against Portugal, after it was learned that he was out
for a fight with the coach. You might make him lose the emergency tones
in this confrontation, but on Tuesday repeated that Terim Emre "surely
not play."
In sum, beyond its lower power, Turkey comes to
this challenge into pieces. The only positive note could come from the
background: in effect, the Turks clashed many times to Germany, 17 to
be exact, and while the balance is largely favourable to the Germans,
with 11 wins, 3 draws and as many defeats, it is also true that Germany
has not won since 1992 (1-0 in friendly), and then came two wins and a
tie Turks. The record, however, also has a sweet side for the Germans:
the only time the two clashed selected as part of a World Cup in 1954,
also played in Switzerland. Germany won and then stayed with the title.
In short, the prognosis is absolutely closed in favour of
boys Löw, in a proportion no longer able to 80 to 20, but eye because
the Turks already provided two Batacazos with them and should not be
left in no time.
Much more closed
It is rather more
complicated, however, make a forecast for the second match, on Thursday
in Vienna between Spain and Russia. The most immediate antecedent, the
first match of the first phase (both integrated Group D), when Spain
Golea to Russia by 4 to 1, would seem to indicate that the Furies are
widely Rojas favorite.
However, in that first game is not
played Arshavin, the small and skillful striker who has been the great
figure of Russians in the last two matches, before Sweden who won the
calsificación room and the Netherlands partidazo before last Saturday .
Denis Kolodin may not be present at the Russian defence
In addition, we returned to look at our notes from this match and we
find that the game was much more evenly than the scoreboard would
suggest: Russia, for example, prints three balls in the logs before
surrendering.
Moreover, while Spain enjoyed in the first
phase, against Italy team wore very terrible fear and without its
offensive power, while Russia apabulló the powerful Dutch with a very
nice game technically and tactically almost perfect.
In
short, he expected a very balanced: Luis Aragones must achieve again,
as in the first phase, keeping the pace high, because the Russian
defense is fragile if addressed in speed, while Guus Hiddink must
achieve an even greater magía the Netherlands achieved before, that's
just robbing the ball to the Spaniards, which makes possession of the
ball his weapon more important.
Moreover, it is quite
possible that we will witness a partidazo and is best known attacks
that defenses, it also becomes very likely a match and with many
spectacular goals. Tomorrow, after review of the first semifinal, also
give them the latest news concerning the party on Thursday.
Regarding the total background, recalled before the game pirmera phase
of Spain and Russia had met three times with two victories Iberian
(both by 1 to 0) and a draw without goals.
However, that is
to Russia, that is history in recent years. The background to the
Soviet Union are much more numerous, but one that surely will increase
the Spanish optimism: the only major triumph in Spain in an
international demonstration was Euro 1964 and in that final Spain beat
by 2 to 1 fairly the Soviets.
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